Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
28.07% ( 0.01) | 24.89% ( 0.01) | 47.04% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% ( -0.04) | 48.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% ( -0.04) | 70.22% ( 0.04) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.02) | 31.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.02) | 67.43% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.04) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.07% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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