Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 28, 2024 at 5pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 6
Napoli

Racic (17')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Rrahmani (29'), Osimhen (31', 41', 47'), Kvaratskhelia (51', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
28.07% ( 0.01)	24.89% ( 0.01)	47.04% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.79% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-0.04)

48.05% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

-0.04)

70.22% (

0.04)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

-0.02)

31.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-0.02)

67.43% (

0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

-0.02)

20.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.05% (

-0.04)

52.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 28.07%

Napoli 47.04%

Draw 24.88%

Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.07%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.04%