Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli

Rrahmani (32' og.), Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Napoli
28.47% ( 0.05)	25.31% ( 0.02)	46.22% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

-0.05)

49.59% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

-0.04)

71.61% (

0.04)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

0.02)

31.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

0.02)

68.01% (

-0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.05)

21.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

-0.08)

54.49% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 28.47%

Napoli 46.21%

Draw 25.31%

Cagliari	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.47%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.21%