Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
3 - 1
Cagliari

Mazzitelli (64'), Soule (75'), Jorge (90+6')
Soule (57'), Zortea (90+3'), Jorge (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sulemana (26')
Azzi (22'), Petagna (62'), Dossena (74'), Lapadula (78'), Pavoletti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone
Monday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Cagliari
39.71% ( 0)	25.96% ( -0)	34.32% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.1% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77% (

0.01)

50.23% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

0.01)

72.19% (

-0.01)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.01)

24.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.01)

59.51% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

0.01)

27.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

0.01)

63.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 39.71%

Cagliari 34.32%

Draw 25.96%

Frosinone	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.71%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.32%