Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Juventus |
28.73% ( -0.2) | 26.27% ( 0.29) | 45% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% ( -1.27) | 53.34% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% ( -1.09) | 74.88% ( 1.08) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.82) | 33.37% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.91) | 69.99% ( 0.91) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.6) | 23.62% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.86) | 57.71% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.73% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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