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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Napoli logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Napoli

Gatti (51')
Bremer (58'), Locatelli (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kvaratskhelia (45+1'), Jesus (63'), Skiri Oestigaard (85'), Osimhen (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Federico Gatti scores the only goal as Juventus beat Napoli 1-0 at the Allianz Stadium to go top of Serie A.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawNapoli
37.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)26.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5%53.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98%75.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)63.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 37%
    Napoli 36.2%
    Draw 26.78%
JuventusDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.2%

How you voted: Juventus vs Napoli

Juventus
73.1%
Draw
16.6%
Napoli
10.3%
145
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Juventus
0-1
Napoli
Raspadori (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
5-1
Juventus
Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
Di Maria (42')
Jan 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Juventus
1-1
Napoli
Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')
Mertens (23')
Demme (87')
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Politano (57'), Koulibaly (85')
Elmas (31'), Lozano (88')
Morata (10')
Locatelli (45')
Apr 7, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
2-1
Napoli
Ronaldo (13'), Dybala (73')
Sandro (54')
Insigne (90' pen.)
Koulibaly (22'), Rrahmani (81')