Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
38.45% ( 0.01) | 26.95% ( -0) | 34.61% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( 0) | 54.26% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( 0) | 75.66% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( 0) | 27.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% | 29.76% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% | 65.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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