Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.