Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.