Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 1
Torino

Colpani (65')
Kiriakopoulos (68'), Carboni (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodriguez (25'), Ilic (55')
Gineitis (67'), Radonjic (90+4'), Juric (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Monza
Sunday, November 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Torino
48.71% ( 0.16)	25.29% ( -0.37)	25.99% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

1.61)

51.11% (

-1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

1.4)

72.96% (

-1.39)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

0.73)

21% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

1.12)

53.77% (

-1.12)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

1.05)

34.35% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

1.1)

71.06% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Monza 48.71%

Torino 26%

Draw 25.28%

Monza	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.71%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26%