Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 45.25% ( | 25.24% ( | 29.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( | 70.84% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( | 21.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( | 54.61% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( | 30.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( | 66.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.51% |