/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
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Dany Mota
15'
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Samuele Vignato
70'
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Samuele Birindelli
80'
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Patrick Ciurria
85'
-
Roberto Gagliardini
88'
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Pablo Mari
90'+3'
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Riccardo Orsolini
12'
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Thiago Motta
86'
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Alexis Saelemaekers
86'
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Alexis Saelemaekers
86'
Monza vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F19%2Fmonza.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Monza
45.25%
▼
(-0.94)
Draw
25.24%
▼
(-0.14)
Bologna
29.51%
▲
(+1.07)
Both Teams to Score:
54.6%
▲
(+1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.26%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 2.5
48.73%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 3.5
29.16%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 3.5
70.84%
▼
(-1.02)
Over 4.5
14.09%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 4.5
85.91%
▼
(-0.69)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
78.46%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
21.54%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
45.39%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
54.61%
▼
(-0.08)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
69.59%
▲
(+1.36)
Under 0.5
30.41%
▼
(-1.36)
Over 1.5
33.39%
▲
(+1.59)
Under 1.5
66.6%
▼
(-1.58)
Score analysis
Monza
45.24%
Draw
25.24%
Bologna
29.51%
Monza
1-0
@
10.05%
▼
(-0.46)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.24%
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.24%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
Bologna
0-1
@
7.8%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.51%
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.51%