Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
35.99% ( -0.06) | 27.9% ( -0) | 36.11% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.13% ( 0) | 57.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.41% ( 0) | 78.58% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( -0.04) | 30.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% ( -0.04) | 66.93% ( 0.04) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( 0.04) | 30.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( 0.05) | 66.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
14 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
15 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
18 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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