Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Lameck Banda 17' goal
  • Remi Oudin 88' goal
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 58'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 81'
  • goal Lewis Ferguson 90'+7'

Lecce vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
Monza 0 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
Bologna 2 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result

Lecce 35.99% (-0.07)
Draw 27.9% (-0.01)
Bologna 36.11% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.11% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 57.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.58% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.16% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.84% (-0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 69.32% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.68% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.07% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.93% (+0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 69.4% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.6% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.16% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.83% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Lecce 35.98%
Draw 27.89%
Bologna 36.11%
Lecce
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
Bologna
0-1 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Marko Arnautovic 13' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 34' goal
Serie A Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Renato Dall'Ara
  • Rodrigo Palacio 2' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 5' goal
  • Rodrigo Palacio 43' yellowcard
  • Musa Barrow 90'+3' goal
  • goal Marco Mancosu 45'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2019 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Panagiotis Tachtsidis 41' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 53' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 85' goal
  • Marco Calderoni 89' yellowcard
  • Diego Farias 91' goal
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 41'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 43'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima M'baye 44'
  • goal Roberto Soriano 56'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 66'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 82'