Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 0
Udinese

Espeto (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Udinese
41.2% ( -0.02)	27.51% ( 0.02)	31.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

-0.04)

57.06% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

-0.03)

77.94% (

0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-0.03)

27.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-0.04)

62.67% (

0.05)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-0.01)

33.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

-0.01)

70.04% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lecce 41.19%

Udinese 31.3%

Draw 27.5%

Lecce	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.19%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.3%