/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
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Rafael Leao
40'
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Rafael Leao
74'
AC Milan vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
61.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
23.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Lecce
15.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
42.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.54%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
55.46%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
23.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
76.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
10.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
89.67%
▲
(+0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
82.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
17.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
51.77%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
48.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
51.45%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
48.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
16.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
83.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
AC Milan
61.66%
Draw
23.16%
Lecce
15.17%
AC Milan
1-0
@
14.85%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 12.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 61.66%
2-0 @ 12.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 61.66%
Draw
1-1
@
10.73%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.16%
0-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.16%
Lecce
0-1
@
6.19%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 15.17%
1-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 15.17%
