Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 49' goal
  • Luka Jovic 87' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'+5'

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2023 5.30pm
Hellas Verona 0 - 3 Fiorentina
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 44% ▼ (-1.35)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.43)
AC Milan 31.11% ▲ (+0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.63% ▼ (-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.53% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 2.5 46.47% ▲ (+1.46)
Over 3.5 31.25% ▼ (-1.39)
Under 3.5 68.75% ▲ (+1.39)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.84% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 0.5 21.16% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 1.5 45.97% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 1.5 54.02% ▲ (+1.89)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 36.14% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.86% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 44%
Draw 24.88%
AC Milan 31.11%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.44)
1-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 31.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
AC Milan
Nov 13, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 2' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Antonin Barak 28'
Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 82' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 2'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 72'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Fiorentina
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Alfred Duncan 15' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 45'+1' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 60' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 85' goal
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 62'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
  • goal Lorenzo Venuti 90'+6' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
Mar 21, 2021 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Erick Pulgar 17' goal
  • Franck Ribery 51' goal
  • Cesare Prandelli 65' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouame 89' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 9'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 41'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 47'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 57'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 72'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 9
AC Milan
Nov 29, 2020 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Alessio Romagnoli 17' goal
  • Franck Kessie 28' goal
  • Ante Rebic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 25'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Castrovilli 52'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 86'
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Dalbert Henrique 62' redcard
  • Martin Caceres 76' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 12'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 25'
  • goal Ante Rebic 56'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 85'

Form Data

Hellas Verona 0 - 3 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Braga
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Empoli
Braga 0 - 4 Fiorentina
Juventus 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Bologna
AC Milan 2 - 0 Atalanta
Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Spurs
AC Milan 1 - 0 Torino
Inter Milan 1 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 5 Sassuolo