Serie A Gameweek 24
AC Milan
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Juan Musso 25' goal
  • Junior Messias 86' goal

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 5.00pm
Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Atalanta 1 - 2 Lecce
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 44.64% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 26.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Atalanta BC 28.76% ▲ (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.93% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.41% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 54.59% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 24.07% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 75.93% ▼ (-0.43)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.73% ▼ (-0.08)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 34% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 1.5 29.31% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 70.68% ▼ (-0.66)

Score analysis

AC Milan 44.64%
Draw 26.59%
Atalanta BC 28.76%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.69% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.59%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.76%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Atalanta
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
AC Milan
  • Rafael Toloi 16' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 29' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 48' yellowcard
  • Berat Djimsiti 78' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 23'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 45'+1'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 68'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 75'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'
Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 15, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Olivier Giroud 44' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 56' goal
  • Franck Kessie 67' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 75' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 53'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 87'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Marten de Roon 40' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 86' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Davide Calabria 1'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 42'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 43'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 52'
  • goal Rafael Leao 78'
  • yellowcard Junior Messias 85'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 88'
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Atalanta
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Remo Freuler 47' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 86' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 43'
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 82'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 90'+1'
  • goal Franck Kessie 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 19
AC Milan
Jan 23, 2021 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Atalanta
  • Theo Hernandez 38' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 51' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Romero 26'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 53'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 77'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 84'
Serie A Gameweek 36
AC Milan
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 14' goal
  • Lucas Biglia 25' yellowcard
  • goal Duvan Zapata 34'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 38'

Form Data

Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Spurs
AC Milan 1 - 0 Torino
Inter Milan 1 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 5 Sassuolo
Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan
Atalanta 1 - 2 Lecce
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta
Sassuolo 1 - 0 Atalanta
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 0 Sampdoria
Juventus 3 - 3 Atalanta