Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.63% ( -2.35) | 27.55% ( 0.38) | 39.81% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 48.73% ( -1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( -1.82) | 56.89% ( 1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( -1.48) | 77.81% ( 1.48) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -2.46) | 32.39% ( 2.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( -2.87) | 68.9% ( 2.87) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( 0.25) | 27.93% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( 0.32) | 63.55% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
14 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
15 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
18 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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