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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Atalanta logo

Juventus
3 - 3
Atalanta

di Maria (25' pen.), Milik (34'), Danilo (65')
Chiesa (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lookman (4', 53'), Maehle (46')
Ederson (49'), Hateboer (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Monza
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 2-1 Atalanta BC

After both progressed to the cup quarter-finals in midweek, two much-changed sides will be pitched together in a fascinating match-up on Sunday: Atalanta suddenly cannot stop scoring, while Juve have generally been resilient at the back - that hammering at Napoli aside. The troubled hosts are likely to regain their composure, though, and grind out another imperfect win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAtalanta BC
32.63% (-2.345 -2.35) 27.55% (0.383 0.38) 39.81% (1.959 1.96)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-1.601 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-1.818 -1.82)56.89% (1.817 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (-1.479 -1.48)77.81% (1.475 1.48)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-2.464 -2.46)32.39% (2.462 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-2.874 -2.87)68.9% (2.871 2.87)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.25200000000001 0.25)27.93% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.32100000000001 0.32)63.55% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 32.63%
    Atalanta BC 39.81%
    Draw 27.54%
JuventusDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 13% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.611 0.61)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.85 0.85)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.594 0.59)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.273 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.81%

How you voted: Juventus vs Atalanta

Juventus
58.0%
Draw
13.0%
Atalanta BC
29.0%
169
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-1
Juventus
Malinovskyi (76')
Djimsiti (36'), Hateboer (36')
Danilo (90+1')
Danilo (38'), Vlahovic (42'), de Ligt (75')
Nov 27, 2021 5pm
Juventus
0-1
Atalanta

Cuadrado (50'), Rabiot (66'), Bernardeschi (79'), Locatelli (89')
Zapata (28')
Freuler (32'), Malinovskyi (37'), Zappacosta (43'), Demiral (70'), Djimsiti (85')
May 19, 2021 8pm
Final
Atalanta
1-2
Juventus
Malinovskyi (41')
Malinovskyi (36'), Romero (78'), Freuler (85'), de Roon (88'), Ilicic (89')
Toloi (88')
Kulusevski (31'), Chiesa (73')
Chiellini (27'), de Ligt (40')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-0
Juventus
Malinovskyi (87')
Gosens (78'), Malinovskyi (79'), Djimsiti (82')

de Ligt (72'), Bonucci (73'), Cuadrado (90+3')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Juventus
1-1
Atalanta
Chiesa (29')
Rabiot (46'), Morata (60'), McKennie (80')
Freuler (57')
Romero (38'), de Roon (52'), Piero Gasperini (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan146442416822
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Lecce164481027-1716
14Parma163672328-515
15Genoa153661324-1115
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
17CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
18Como152671628-1212
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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