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Serie A

Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Inter logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Rabiot (52'), Fagioli (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawInter Milan
36.19% (-0.236 -0.24)23.13% (0.137 0.14)40.68% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.67% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.735 -0.73)36.66% (0.737 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.805 -0.81)58.82% (0.808 0.81)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)20.61% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.709 -0.71)53.16% (0.711 0.71)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.265 -0.27)18.54% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (-0.45 -0.45)49.78% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 36.19%
    Inter Milan 40.68%
    Draw 23.13%
JuventusDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 40.68%

How you voted: Juventus vs Inter Milan

Juventus
38.6%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
47.0%
334
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 8pm
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Juventus
Dzeko (17')
Barella (40'), Perisic (71')
Inzaghi (89')
Dybala (89' pen.)
Sandro (44'), Chiellini (90+5')
May 15, 2021 5pm
Juventus
3-2
Inter Milan
Ronaldo (24'), Cuadrado (45+3', 88' pen.)
Kulusevski (13'), Bentancur (20'), Chiellini (85'), Cuadrado (90')
Bentancur (55')
Lukaku (35' pen.), Chiellini (83' og.)
Darmian (23'), Martinez (74'), Bastoni (77'), Brozovic (88')
Brozovic (90+2')