Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
63.27% ( -0.01) | 21.1% ( 0) | 15.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( -0.01) | 46.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( -0.01) | 68.87% ( 0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( -0.01) | 14.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.31% ( -0.01) | 41.69% ( 0.01) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( 0) | 42.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( 0) | 78.92% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.25% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |