Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
| 63.27% ( | 21.1% ( | 15.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( | 46.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( | 68.87% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( | 14.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.31% ( | 41.69% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.44% ( | 42.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% ( | 78.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.25% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.63% |