Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.45%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Juventus |
| 22.07% | 21.48% | 56.45% |
| Both teams to score 60.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% | 38.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.48% | 60.52% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% | 13.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.56% | 40.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.07% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.29% 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.45% |