Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Juventus

Mbappe (5', 22')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McKennie (53')

Reaction

Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring their first goal on September 6, 2022

Kylian Mbappe brace sees Paris Saint-Germain past Juventus

Two goals from Kylian Mbappe hand Paris Saint-Germain a 2-1 victory over fellow Group H heavyweights Juventus in their Champions League opener.

Sep 6, 20:56

Watch: Neymar, Kylian Mbappe combine for stunning goal against Juventus

Neymar and Kylian Mbappe put rumours of a rift to one side to combine in stunning fashion and give PSG an early lead in their Champions League clash with Juventus.

Sep 6, 19:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 0-3 PSG
Saturday, September 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	6	20	16
2	Marseille	6	10	16
3	Lens	6	8	14

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
Saturday, September 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Torino	5	1	10
7	Juventus	5	5	9
8	Inter Milan	5	3	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Juventus
59.29% ( 0.15)	26.52% ( -0.01)	14.19% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 33.02% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.98% (

-0.14)

67.02% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.72% (

-0.09)

85.28% (

0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82%

23.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

57.07% (

-0)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.99% (

-0.29)

57.01% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.95% (

-0.17)

89.05% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.28%

Juventus 14.2%

Draw 26.5%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 19.31% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 59.28%	0-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.2%