| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salernitana | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Napoli | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
| 49.26% ( | 24.37% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( | 46.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( | 69.24% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( | 19.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( | 50.77% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( | 31.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( | 68.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.37% |