Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.