| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
| 16.69% | 22.66% | 60.64% |
| Both teams to score 46.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% | 51.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% | 72.99% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.11% | 43.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% | 80.03% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% | 16.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% | 46.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% 2-1 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.69% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 13.03% 0-2 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-4 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-5 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 60.63% |