Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.