| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
| 41.35% | 27.44% | 31.22% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% | 56.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% | 27.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% | 62.42% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.22% |