Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 12, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 0
Cagliari

Erlic (55'), Manaj (74')
Manaj (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavoletti (30'), Pedro (45+3'), Goldaniga (75'), Zappa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Cagliari

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Cagliari
33.46%	27.3%	39.24%

Both teams to score 49.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21%

55.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08%

76.92%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38%

67.62%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27%

27.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71%

63.29%

Score Analysis

Spezia 33.45%

Cagliari 39.24%

Draw 27.29%

Spezia	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.45%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.24%