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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Spezia

Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Fiorentina vs. Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Spezia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Spezia vs. Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-0 Spezia

Though it took a fightback from behind to win 3-2 in September's reverse fixture, Juventus should have no such problems on Sunday, as they approach this encounter in far better form. Even accounting for a series of absences in the home side's squad, only Venezia have faced more shots on target than Spezia in Serie A this season, while city rivals Torino are the only team to have conceded fewer than Juve - indicating the probable outcome of this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
79.07%13.57%7.36%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54%56.46%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.08%6.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.6%25.4%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39%49.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62%84.38%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 79.06%
    Spezia 7.36%
    Draw 13.57%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.24%
3-0 @ 10.9%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 7.65%
4-0 @ 7.28%
4-1 @ 5.11%
5-0 @ 3.89%
5-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.73%
6-1 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 79.06%
1-1 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.43%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 13.57%
0-1 @ 2.41%
1-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 7.36%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
82.0%
Draw
12.0%
Spezia
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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