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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Spezia

Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Fiorentina vs. Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Spezia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Spezia vs. Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-0 Spezia

Though it took a fightback from behind to win 3-2 in September's reverse fixture, Juventus should have no such problems on Sunday, as they approach this encounter in far better form. Even accounting for a series of absences in the home side's squad, only Venezia have faced more shots on target than Spezia in Serie A this season, while city rivals Torino are the only team to have conceded fewer than Juve - indicating the probable outcome of this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
79.07%13.57%7.36%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54%56.46%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.08%6.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.6%25.4%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39%49.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62%84.38%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 79.06%
    Spezia 7.36%
    Draw 13.57%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.24%
3-0 @ 10.9%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 7.65%
4-0 @ 7.28%
4-1 @ 5.11%
5-0 @ 3.89%
5-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.73%
6-1 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 79.06%
1-1 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.43%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 13.57%
0-1 @ 2.41%
1-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 7.36%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
82.0%
Draw
12.0%
Spezia
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli321310950401049
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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