Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 6, 2022 at 5pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Spezia

Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Fiorentina vs. Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Napoli	37	40	76
4	Juventus	37	22	70
5	Lazio	37	19	63

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Spezia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Next Game: Spezia vs. Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	37	-14	36
16	Spezia	37	-27	36
17	Salernitana	37	-41	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Spezia
79.07%	13.57%	7.36%

Both teams to score 46.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.48%

34.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.54%

56.46%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.08%

6.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.6%

25.4%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.39%

49.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.62%

84.38%

Score Analysis

Juventus 79.06%

Spezia 7.36%

Draw 13.57%

Juventus	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.24% 3-0 @ 10.9% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.65% 4-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.11% 5-0 @ 3.89% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.73% 6-1 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.14% Total : 79.06%	1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.43% 2-2 @ 3.01% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.57%	0-1 @ 2.41% 1-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.7% Total : 7.36%