Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 22.4% | 20.65% | 56.95% |
| Both teams to score 63.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% | 33.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% | 55.65% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% | 63.48% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% | 11.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.84% | 37.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 4.36% 1-4 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.32% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.99% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.95% |