Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Juventus |
30.62% | 24.9% | 44.48% |
Both teams to score 56.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.28% | 46.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% | 68.99% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% | 28.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% | 64.43% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% | 21.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% | 53.85% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |