Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 29.7% | 24.19% | 46.11% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% | 27.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% | 63.48% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% | 19.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% | 50.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.11% |