Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Ibanez 37' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 75' yellowcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 15'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 24'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 47'

Roma vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna 1 - 0 Roma
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Tammy Abraham

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Roma 29.7%
Draw 24.19%
Inter Milan 46.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 56%
Under 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 33.62%
Under 3.5 66.38%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 72.12%
Under 0.5 27.87%
Over 1.5 36.51%
Under 1.5 63.48%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 80.76%
Under 0.5 19.23%
Over 1.5 49.06%
Under 1.5 50.94%

Score analysis

Roma 29.7%
Draw 24.19%
Inter Milan 46.11%
Roma
2-1 @ 7.21%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 29.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-1 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 11' goal
  • Matias Vecino 20' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ebrima Darboe 6'
  • yellowcard Davide Santon 28'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 31'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 71'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 82'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 17' goal
  • Chris Smalling 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 65' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Villar 76' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 86' goal
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 43'
  • goal Milan Skriniar 56'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 63'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 67'
  • yellowcard Ivan Perisic 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 45'+1' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 57' goal
  • Pedro Lopez 72' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 15'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 23'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 88'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Diego Godin 61' yellowcard
  • Valentino Lazaro 62' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Brozovic 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 77'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2019 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Ivan Perisic 61' goal
  • Matias Vecino 62' yellowcard
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 14'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 84'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2018 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
  • Cengiz Under 51' goal
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 74' goal
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 79' yellowcard
  • goal Keita Balde 37'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Asamoah 48'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 66'