Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.07%) and 0-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Roma
23.89%	20.84%	55.26%

Both teams to score 64.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.07%

32.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.35%

54.65%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79%

26.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7%

61.31%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95%

12.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44%

37.56%

Score Analysis

Genoa 23.89%

Roma 55.26%

Draw 20.84%

Genoa	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 23.89%	1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 3.16% 3-3 @ 2% Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 6.68% 0-3 @ 4.99% 2-3 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.53% 0-4 @ 2.64% 2-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.12% 3-4 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.26%