Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 2
AC Milan

El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
43.56%	25.65%	30.79%

Both teams to score 53.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1%

49.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11%

71.89%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46%

56.54%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9%

30.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76%

66.24%

Score Analysis

Roma 43.55%

AC Milan 30.79%

Draw 25.64%

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma

25.3%

Draw

23.6%

AC Milan

51.0%