Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 1
Genoa

Sirigu (66' og.)
Bastoni (55'), Provedel (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Criscito (86' pen.)
Biraschi (60'), Kallon (65'), Caicedo (79'), Masiello (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Genoa
40.77%	26.03%	33.19%

Both teams to score 53.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25%

50.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.35%

72.65%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93%

59.06%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07%

28.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18%

64.81%

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.77%

Genoa 33.19%

Draw 26.03%

Spezia	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.77%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.19%

How you voted: Spezia vs Genoa

Spezia

42.6%

Draw

32.3%

Genoa

25.2%