Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 3
Juventus

Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), de Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Juventus
17.12%	21.04%	61.84%

Both teams to score 52.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37%

43.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.98%

66.02%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12%

38.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39%

75.61%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43%

13.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33%

40.67%

Score Analysis

Spezia 17.12%

Juventus 61.83%

Draw 21.04%

Spezia	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 4.98% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.12%	1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.27% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 61.83%