Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 19, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 2
Spezia

Ceccaroni (59')
Mazzocchi (26'), Vacca (57'), Busio (69'), Heymans (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bastoni (13'), Bourabia (90+4')
Ferrer (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Spezia
52.07%	24.2%	23.74%

Both teams to score 53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49%

48.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36%

70.64%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1%

49.9%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12%

34.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38%

71.62%

Score Analysis

Venezia 52.06%

Spezia 23.74%

Draw 24.19%

Venezia	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.74%

How you voted: Venezia vs Spezia

Venezia

70.8%

Draw

25.0%

Spezia

4.2%