Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.