Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
4 - 1
Torino

Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Torino
31.74%	25.25%	43.01%

Both teams to score 55.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.18%

47.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30%

70%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81%

22.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.41%

55.59%

Score Analysis

Spezia 31.74%

Torino 43.01%

Draw 25.25%

Spezia	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.74%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.01%

How you voted: Spezia vs Torino

Spezia

26.5%

Draw

39.7%

Torino

33.8%