Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
4 - 1
Spezia

Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Spezia
49.85%	23.46%	26.69%

Both teams to score 58.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3%

42.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9%

65.1%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75%

17.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.43%

47.57%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66%

29.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68%

65.32%

Score Analysis

Bologna 49.85%

Spezia 26.69%

Draw 23.45%

Bologna	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.94% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.69%

How you voted: Bologna vs Spezia

Bologna

42.1%

Draw

47.4%

Spezia

10.5%