Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
| 45.05% | 24.96% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 55.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% | 69.52% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% | 21.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% | 53.83% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% | 65.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.99% |