Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Spezia

Lazzari (56'), Caicedo (88' pen.)
Pereira (30'), Correa (77'), Inzaghi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Verde (73')
Chabot (20'), N'Zola (90+4'), Agudelo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Spezia
66.51%	18.71%	14.77%

Both teams to score 55.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.51%

37.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.28%

59.72%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.54%

10.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.94%

34.06%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18%

74.82%

Score Analysis

Lazio 66.51%

Spezia 14.78%

Draw 18.71%

Lazio	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.78% Total : 66.51%	1-1 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.73% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.71%	1-2 @ 4.19% 0-1 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.78%

How you voted: Lazio vs Spezia

Lazio

90.5%

Draw

4.8%

Spezia