Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Fiorentina
31.17%	26.09%	42.75%

Both teams to score 52.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.44%

51.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.64%

73.36%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32%

30.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06%

66.94%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.16%

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 31.17%

Fiorentina 42.75%

Draw 26.08%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.17%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.75%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona

50.0%

Draw

23.8%

Fiorentina

26.2%