Benevento

1 - 4

Fiorentina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.