J1 League
Dec 6, 2025 at 5am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Inagaki (90+6' pen.)
Hara (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuoka (37'), Nara (90+8')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
31.15%27.16%41.69%
Both teams to score 49.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18%55.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06%76.94%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12%32.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55%69.45%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.55%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 31.15%
    Avispa Fukuoka 41.68%
    Draw 27.15%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.15%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.68%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 6.30am
gameweek 17
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (90+5', 90+5')
Matsuoka (64'), Matsuoka (64')
Tokumoto (81', 81')
Shiihashi (50'), Shiihashi (50'), Mateus (60'), Mateus (60')
Oct 4, 2024 11am
gameweek 33
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Oda (88')

Mikuni (90+2'), Izumi (90+1')
Apr 7, 2024 7am
gameweek 7
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Kawazura (26'), Kawazura (26'), Shiihashi (45'), Shiihashi (45')
Tashiro (43'), Tashiro (43'), Mae (79'), Mae (79'), Miya (90+2'), Miya (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 11am
Jun 11, 2023 8am
gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
Sato (65' pen.)