Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.