Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.