Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.