Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.