Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.