National League North Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington FC vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
South Shields 0 - 0 Leamington
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Seb Thompson

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 0 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
George Ward

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Leamington FC has a probability of 33.52% and a draw has a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Leamington FC win is 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Leamington FC 33.52% (-0.50)
Draw 24.28% (-0.05)
Buxton 42.2% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 23.93% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.22% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.78% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.4%
Under 3.5 69.55% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.96% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.04% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Leamington FC 25.14%
Draw 40.14%
Buxton 34.72%

Team To Score First

Leamington FC 38.89% (-1.47)
No Goal 6.22% (+0.03)
Buxton 54.89% (+1.44)

Corners

Over 8 64.17% (+2.31)
Equal 8 10.85% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.98% (-2.27)
Over 9 52.51% (+2.08)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.22)
Under 9 35.84% (-2.29)
Over 10.5 41.08% (+1.72)
Under 10.5 58.92% (-1.72)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 1.5 34.28% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 65.72% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 13.48% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.52% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.04% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.96% (+0.13)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 74.44% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 25.56% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 41.73% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 58.27% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 17.96% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 82.04% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 6.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leamington FC 33.52%
Draw 24.29%
Buxton 42.2%
Leamington FC
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.75% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.03% (-0.13)
Total : 33.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.22% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.29%
Buxton
0-1 @ 9.51% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.61% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.38% (-0.01)
Total : 42.2%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Owen Farmer 44' goal
  • goal Kieran Burton 80'
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Tom Elliott 14' goal
  • Josh Popoola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ben Sault 90'+4' goal
  • goal Callum Stewart 45'
  • yellowcard E 65'
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 32'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Mace Goodridge 83' goal
  • goal Dan Turner 65'