Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.