National League North Gameweek 21
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • goal Luke Brennan 8'

Leamington FC vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 1 - 0 Leamington
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Seb Thompson

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Buxton
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Johnny Johnston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Leamington FC 25.36% (-0.93)
Draw 24.69% (-0.25)
Buxton 49.95% (+1.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.25% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 25.75% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 49.88% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 50.12% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 28.28% (+0.95)
Under 3.5 71.72% (-0.94)
Over 4.5 16.21% (+0.87)
Under 4.5 83.79% (-0.86)

First Half Winner

Leamington FC 22.8% (-0.04)
Draw 40.99% (+0.18)
Buxton 36.21% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Leamington FC 36.39% (+0.68)
No Goal 7.19% (-0.06)
Buxton 56.42% (-0.62)

Corners

Over 8 59.18% (+2.05)
Equal 8 11.42% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.4% (-2.14)
Over 9 47.4% (+1.76)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.28)
Under 9 40.82% (-2.05)
Over 10.5 36.28% (+1.36)
Under 10.5 63.72% (-1.36)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 1.5 26.76% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 73.24% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 8.83% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 91.17% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 2.49% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.51% (-0.01)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 77.62% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 22.38% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 46.32% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 53.68% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 21.36% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 78.64% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 8.25% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 91.75% (-0.71)

Score analysis

Leamington FC 25.36%
Draw 24.68%
Buxton 49.96%
Leamington FC
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.23)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 24.68%
Buxton
0-1 @ 11.27% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 8.69% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.85% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.15)
Other @ 8.22% (+0.70)
Total : 49.96%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Owen Farmer 44' goal
  • goal Kieran Burton 80'
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Tom Elliott 14' goal
  • Josh Popoola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ben Sault 90'+4' goal
  • goal Callum Stewart 45'
  • yellowcard E 65'
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 32'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Mace Goodridge 83' goal
  • goal Dan Turner 65'