Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Buxton has a probability of 26.08% and a draw has a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Buxton win is 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.32%).