Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.