National League North
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Sonny Hilton 9' yellowcard
  • Luke Tabone 46' yellowcard
  • Djavan Pedro 74' yellowcard
  • Arthur Gnahoua 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kurt Willoughby 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLean 74'
  • yellowcard Will Trueman 74'

Southport vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 5 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jordan Slew

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 0 Buxton
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Tai Sodje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Southport 41.77% (+0.79)
Draw 25.77% (-0.04)
Buxton 32.41% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.93% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.6% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 22.4% (+0.75)
Over 2.5 54.44% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 45.56% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 33.41% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 66.59% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 19.02% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 80.98% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Southport 31.21% (-0.97)
Draw 41.78% (+1.65)
Buxton 27.01% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Southport 49.22% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.2% (+0.29)
Buxton 44.58% (-0.39)

Corners

Over 8 63.69% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.97% (-0.04)
Under 8 25.34% (-0.11)
Over 9 51.96% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.04)
Under 9 36.31% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 40.49% (+0.20)
Under 10.5 59.51% (-0.20)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 43.73% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 56.27% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 19.78% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 80.22% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 7.75% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 92.25% (-0.40)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% (-1.20)
Under 0.5 32.24% (+1.21)
Over 1.5 35.57% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 64.43% (+1.33)
Over 2.5 13.98% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 86.02% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 4.44% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 95.56% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Southport 41.77%
Draw 25.77%
Buxton 32.4%
Southport
1-0 @ 8.6% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 4.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.16)
Other @ 7.61% (+0.46)
Total : 41.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.07)
Total : 25.77%
Buxton
0-1 @ 7.54% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.33)
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.3% (-0.21)
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Luke Brennan 31' goal
  • Luke Brennan 51' goal
  • goal Luke Brennan 76'
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Sonny Hilton 14' goal
  • Danny Lloyd 54' goal
  • David Morgan 90' goal
  • goal Josh Popoola 19'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Ravenhill 87'
  • goal Kieran Burton 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 36' goal
  • Richie Bennett 90' goal
  • Luke Burgess 90' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ben Andreucci 20'
  • goal Ben Andreucci 47'
National League North Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Mikey O'Neil 5'
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 77' goal