National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Haig Avenue

Southport vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Radcliffe 0 - 0 Buxton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
George Ward

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southport win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Buxton has a probability of 35.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Buxton win is 1-2 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Southport 39.04% (+0.16)
Draw 25.77% (+0.68)
Buxton 35.19% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.83% (-0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.51% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 21.49% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 56.07% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 43.93% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 32.76% (-1.24)
Under 3.5 67.24% (+1.23)
Over 4.5 18.56% (-1.06)
Under 4.5 81.44% (+1.05)

First Half Winner

Southport 32.79% (+0.69)
Draw 38.63% (-0.33)
Buxton 28.58% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Southport 47.82% (-0.18)
No Goal 5.97% (+0.43)
Buxton 46.21% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 63.31% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.83% (-0.11)
Under 8 25.86% (+0.04)
Over 9 51.77% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.12)
Under 9 36.69% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 40.51% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 59.49% (-0.29)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 41.97% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 58.03% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 17.94% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 82.06% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 5.99% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 94.01% (+0.30)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 71.38% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 28.62% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 38.72% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 61.28% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 16.08% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 83.92% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 5.38% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 94.62% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Southport 39.04%
Draw 25.76%
Buxton 35.18%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.11% (+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.02% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.17)
Other @ 5.7% (-0.34)
Total : 39.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.43)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.29% (+0.05)
Total : 25.76%
Buxton
1-2 @ 8.59% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.09% (-0.46)
Total : 35.18%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Luke Brennan 31' goal
  • Luke Brennan 51' goal
  • goal Luke Brennan 76'
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Sonny Hilton 14' goal
  • Danny Lloyd 54' goal
  • David Morgan 90' goal
  • goal Josh Popoola 19'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Ravenhill 87'
  • goal Kieran Burton 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 36' goal
  • Richie Bennett 90' goal
  • Luke Burgess 90' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ben Andreucci 20'
  • goal Ben Andreucci 47'
National League North Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Mikey O'Neil 5'
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 77' goal