National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
The Silverlands

Buxton vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 0 - 0 Buxton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
George Ward

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 0 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Finlay Sinclair-Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Marine AFC has a probability of 33.6% and a draw has a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Marine AFC win is 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result

Buxton 40.31% (+0.13)
Draw 26.09% (+0.02)
Marine AFC 33.6% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.2% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.57% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 50.43% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 27.68% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.32% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.82% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.18% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Buxton 33.14% (-0.01)
Draw 41.52% (+0.02)
Marine AFC 25.34%

Team To Score First

Buxton 49.23% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.96% (+0.01)
Marine AFC 43.81% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.87% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.68% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.45% (+0.01)
Over 9 45.95% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.92% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.13% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.81% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 65.18% (-0.03)

Buxton Goals

Over 1.5 39.21%
Under 1.5 60.79%
Over 2.5 15.86%
Under 2.5 84.14%
Over 3.5 5.33%
Under 3.5 94.67%

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 67.86% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 32.14% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 33.69% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 66.31% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.81% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 87.19% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.7% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.3% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Buxton 40.31%
Draw 26.09%
Marine AFC 33.61%
Buxton
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.22% (+0.01)
Total : 40.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 26.09%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.04)
Total : 33.61%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Enock Lusiama 32' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 37'
  • goal Luke Brennan 62'
  • goal Johnny Johnston 69'
  • goal Johnny Johnston 74'
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Silverlands
  • Josh Popoola 38' yellowcard
  • Djavan Pedro 49' goal
  • goal Brad Holmes 10'
  • goal Brad Holmes 44'
  • yellowcard Brad Holmes 54'
  • yellowcard Leigh Whelan 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 76'