National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

Buxton
3-1
WorksopWorksop Town

Brennan (18' pen.), Ward (32'), Walker (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (47')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Worksop Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Worksop
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Buxton vs. South Shields
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Worksop Town

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Worksop
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Chester vs. Worksop
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawWorksop Town
48.31% (-0.434 -0.43)23.88% (0.036000000000001 0.04)27.81% (0.394 0.39)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (0.106 0.11)43.77% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (0.102 0.1)66.16% (-0.107 -0.11)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.131 -0.13)18.25% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.22 -0.22)49.3% (0.216 0.22)
Worksop Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.339 0.34)29.08% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (0.421 0.42)65% (-0.425 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 48.31%
    Worksop Town 27.81%
    Draw 23.88%
BuxtonDrawWorksop Town
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.81%