National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Luke Brennan 18' goal
  • George Ward 32' goal
  • Adriel Walker 75' goal
  • goal Aaron Martin 47'

Buxton vs Worksop Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Macclesfield 0 - 2 Buxton
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Cian Coleman

Worksop Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Worksop 1 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Lewis Whitham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Buxton 48.31% (-0.44)
Draw 23.88% (+0.04)
Worksop Town 27.81% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.97% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.23% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 43.77% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.84% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.16% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.41% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.59% (-0.08)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 81.74% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 18.25% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 50.7% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 49.3% (+0.22)

Worksop Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 29.08% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 35% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 65% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Buxton 48.31%
Draw 23.88%
Worksop Town 27.81%
Buxton
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.88%
Worksop Town
1-2 @ 6.89% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.05% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.67% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.81%