Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.