Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worksop Town win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worksop Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.