National League North
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Alfreton Town

1-0

Martin (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Worksop Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worksop 1-0 Alfreton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Buxton vs. Worksop
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Worksop 1-0 Alfreton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Alfreton vs. Leamington
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worksop Town win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worksop Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Worksop TownDrawAlfreton Town
46.57% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)25.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.33% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Worksop Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)20.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)53.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.037999999999997 0.04)67.63% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Worksop Town 46.57%
    Alfreton Town 28.33%
    Draw 25.09%
Worksop TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.33%

rhs 2.0


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